11 March 2007
Final Projected Bracket
Well, it all comes down to this, the final bracket. In a half hour, we'll all see how close I got this year. I made quite a few changes to the top four lines based on today's action and quiet introspection.
Top seeds - Ohio State, UCLA, Florida, North Carolina This decision is based on the whole body of work for the season. I thought about keeping Kansas up top, but decided against that after Carolina won the ACC tourney and the Jayhawks got into a battle with Texas. Kansas's slightly weaker schedule, particularly in conference, also costs them.
2 seeds - Kansas, Georgetown, Wisconsin, Memphis The only teams here with a really great case for a 1 are Kansas and Georgetown. The Badgers lost two of three to Ohio State and Memphis's conference schedule eliminate them.
3 seeds - Texas A&M, Pitt, Oregon, Texas The Longhorns trade places with Washington State based on a stronger finish.
4 seeds - Washington State, Notre Dame, Maryland, Southern Illinois Notre Dame and Maryland move up and replace Louisville and UNLV based on their overall performance for the season.
At the other end of the bracket, I made one change to the at-large pool. I dropped Arkansas after their second half collapse in Atlanta and replaced them with Drexel.
Last Four In
Drexel
Illinois
Stanford
Texas Tech
Last Four Out
Air Force
Arkansas
Missouri State
West Virginia
Next Four Out
Bradley
Florida State
Kansas State
Old Dominion
Breakdown by Conference
ACC: 7 (North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech)
Big East: 7 (Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Louisville, Marquette, Villanova, Syracuse)
Pac-10: 6 (UCLA, Oregon, Washington State, USC, Arizona, Stanford)
Big 12: 4 (Kansas, Texas A&M, Texas, Texas Tech)
SEC: 4 (Florida, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Kentucky)
Atlantic 10: 2 (Xavier, George Washington)
Colonial: 2 (VCU, Drexel)
Horizon: 2 (Butler, Wright State)
Missouri Valley: 2 (Southern Illinois, Creighton)
Mountain West: 2 (UNLV, BYU)
Western Athletic: 2 (Nevada, New Mexico State)
Post-mortem around 7:30
Well, it all comes down to this, the final bracket. In a half hour, we'll all see how close I got this year. I made quite a few changes to the top four lines based on today's action and quiet introspection.
Top seeds - Ohio State, UCLA, Florida, North Carolina This decision is based on the whole body of work for the season. I thought about keeping Kansas up top, but decided against that after Carolina won the ACC tourney and the Jayhawks got into a battle with Texas. Kansas's slightly weaker schedule, particularly in conference, also costs them.
2 seeds - Kansas, Georgetown, Wisconsin, Memphis The only teams here with a really great case for a 1 are Kansas and Georgetown. The Badgers lost two of three to Ohio State and Memphis's conference schedule eliminate them.
3 seeds - Texas A&M, Pitt, Oregon, Texas The Longhorns trade places with Washington State based on a stronger finish.
4 seeds - Washington State, Notre Dame, Maryland, Southern Illinois Notre Dame and Maryland move up and replace Louisville and UNLV based on their overall performance for the season.
At the other end of the bracket, I made one change to the at-large pool. I dropped Arkansas after their second half collapse in Atlanta and replaced them with Drexel.
Last Four In
Drexel
Illinois
Stanford
Texas Tech
Last Four Out
Air Force
Arkansas
Missouri State
West Virginia
Next Four Out
Bradley
Florida State
Kansas State
Old Dominion
Breakdown by Conference
ACC: 7 (North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech)
Big East: 7 (Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Louisville, Marquette, Villanova, Syracuse)
Pac-10: 6 (UCLA, Oregon, Washington State, USC, Arizona, Stanford)
Big 12: 4 (Kansas, Texas A&M, Texas, Texas Tech)
SEC: 4 (Florida, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Kentucky)
Atlantic 10: 2 (Xavier, George Washington)
Colonial: 2 (VCU, Drexel)
Horizon: 2 (Butler, Wright State)
Missouri Valley: 2 (Southern Illinois, Creighton)
Mountain West: 2 (UNLV, BYU)
Western Athletic: 2 (Nevada, New Mexico State)
Post-mortem around 7:30
# posted by Chris @ 16:24 
